diff --git a/data/campaigns/Under_the_Burning_Suns/scenarios/01_The_Morning_After.cfg b/data/campaigns/Under_the_Burning_Suns/scenarios/01_The_Morning_After.cfg
index e65d736a30d..ea9fddd1e7e 100644
--- a/data/campaigns/Under_the_Burning_Suns/scenarios/01_The_Morning_After.cfg
+++ b/data/campaigns/Under_the_Burning_Suns/scenarios/01_The_Morning_After.cfg
@@ -221,6 +221,24 @@
                 gender=male
             [/value]
         [/set_variables]
+
+        # Smooth out camp luck
+        {VARIABLE total_elf_pool_gold_value 0}
+        {VARIABLE current_elf_pool_gold_value_received 0}
+        {VARIABLE seen_camps 0}
+        [foreach]
+            array=elf_pool
+            [do]
+                [store_unit_type]
+                    type = $this_item.type
+                    variable = utbs_unit_type
+                [/store_unit_type]
+                {VARIABLE_OP total_elf_pool_gold_value add "$utbs_unit_type.cost"}
+                {CLEAR_VARIABLE utbs_unit_type}
+            [/do]
+        [/foreach]
+        # This will be further reduced when outer_villages are calculated
+        {VARIABLE_OP total_elf_pool_gold_value multiply "$({ON_DIFFICULTY 0.6 0.5 0.4})"}
     [/event]
 
     # Dialog at start of scenario
@@ -971,6 +989,10 @@
                 [/or]
             [/not]
         [/store_locations]
+
+        # Scale average gold value to the number of villages, not size of pool
+        {VARIABLE_OP total_elf_pool_gold_value multiply "$outer_villages.length"}
+        {VARIABLE_OP total_elf_pool_gold_value divide "$elf_pool.length"}
     [/event]
 
     [event]
@@ -1000,17 +1022,24 @@
             # if this village wasn't captured by undead first, the
             # player has a chance of finding a random elf
             [then]
-                {VARIABLE_OP fate rand "1..100"}
-
-                # And check if it's lower than a threshold of
+                # Check if it's lower than a threshold of
                 # finding an unit that's dependent on difficulty
                 # level: 60% on easy, 50% on normal, 40% on
                 # hard. We use preprocesor to choose appropriate
-                # chance
+                # chance. We also account for luckiness, which is
+                # the difference between expected gold value of
+                # the elf pool and the gold value of the units
+                # already found.
+                # If you want more variability, increase max_fate.
+                {VARIABLE max_fate 30}
+                {VARIABLE_OP fate rand "1..$max_fate"}
+                {VARIABLE expected_elf_pool_gold_value "$($total_elf_pool_gold_value|*$seen_camps|/$outer_villages.length|)"}
+                {VARIABLE luckiness "$($current_elf_pool_gold_value_received - $expected_elf_pool_gold_value)"}
+                {VARIABLE_OP seen_camps add 1}
                 [if]
                     [variable]
                         name=fate
-                        less_than_equal_to={ON_DIFFICULTY 60 50 40}
+                        less_than_equal_to="$($max_fate|*{ON_DIFFICULTY 0.6 0.5 0.4} - $luckiness|)"
                     [/variable]
                     [then]
                         # So the RNG smiled upon the player, time to pick a
@@ -1033,6 +1062,14 @@
 #endif
                         [/unit]
 
+                        # Add gold value of the unit to luck counter
+                        [store_unit_type]
+                            type = $elf_pool[$random_elf_pool_index].type
+                            variable = utbs_unit_type
+                        [/store_unit_type]
+                        {VARIABLE_OP current_elf_pool_gold_value_received add "$utbs_unit_type.cost"}
+                        {CLEAR_VARIABLE utbs_unit_type}
+
                         # When done remove unit from the pool
                         {CLEAR_VARIABLE elf_pool[$random_elf_pool_index]}
                         {CLEAR_VARIABLE random_elf_pool_index}
@@ -1053,6 +1090,9 @@
                     [/else]
                 [/if]
                 {CLEAR_VARIABLE fate}
+                {CLEAR_VARIABLE max_fate}
+                {CLEAR_VARIABLE expected_elf_pool_gold_value}
+                {CLEAR_VARIABLE luckiness}
             [/then]
 
             # If this village was captured by undead first, the player
@@ -1443,6 +1483,9 @@
         {CLEAR_VARIABLE found_garak}
         {CLEAR_VARIABLE found_zhul}
         {CLEAR_VARIABLE bridge_event}
+        {CLEAR_VARIABLE total_elf_pool_gold_value}
+        {CLEAR_VARIABLE current_elf_pool_gold_value_received}
+        {CLEAR_VARIABLE seen_camps}
 
         # This clears all those village-specific containers that were holding
         # information about who had visited the village